FanBoardHQ

New Mexico

University of New Mexico · 2025 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#51
Efficiency
-0.1
69th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
T-2nd
of 12
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New Mexico went 9-4 and was ranked 51st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 56th-ranked defense carried them, with a 75th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 90th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 79th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
3-1
Q4
6-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
48th
-1.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
93rd
full season
93rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
82nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ MichiganBig Ten#19L 1734-16.20%-1.4Q1
2vs Idaho StateBig SkyW 3222+12.5100%4.6Q4
3@ UCLABig Ten#97W 3510+1.5100%23.8Q3
5vs New Mexico StateConference USA#119W 3820+17.4100%-0.6Q4
6@ San José StateMountain West#123L 2835+11.70%-22.6Q4
7@ Boise StateMountain West#46L 2541-6.50%-16.6Q2
8vs NevadaMountain West#125W 2422+20.0100%-14.5Q4
9vs Utah StateMountain West#81W 3314+5.6100%15.2Q4
10@ UNLVMountain West#55W 4035-2.9100%6.7Q3
12vs Colorado StateMountain West#130W 2017+19.0100%-16.4Q4
13@ Air ForceMountain West#105W 203+4.0100%19.3Q4
14vs San Diego StateMountain West#47W 2317-2.2100%3.1Q3
Postseason
vs MinnesotaBig Ten#48L 1720+0.60%-2.2Q3

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on New Mexico, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-18.9+0.6+20.1-1524-1-23-17-15157-16193Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 79th
SR 111thYPP 58thEPA 73rd
RushingEff 90th
SR 92ndYPP 106thEPA 85th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 78th
SR 72ndYPP 63rdEPA 81st
Rush defenseEff 36th
SR 36thYPP 28thEPA 42nd
Dropback rate 47%Tempo -0.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 85th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 39%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 55.0Q1 · Allowed: 41.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 133.0Q2 · Allowed: 106.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 43.0Q3 · Allowed: 62.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 103.0Q4 · Allowed: 72.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledNew MexicoOffenseDefense
New Mexico Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 75th
-1.4
Field position: +0.1Finishing drives: -1.5
Field position +0.1Finishing drives -1.5= -1.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 58th · Finishing 80th

Defensive EffRanked 56th
+1.5
Field position: -0.4Finishing drives: +1.9
Field position -0.4Finishing drives +1.9= +1.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 83rd · Finishing 54th

1.99 points per drive on offense, 1.77 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(203)42% / 58%47%5.9
Q2(227)56% / 44%41%6.2
Q3(156)49% / 51%34%5.7
Q4(239)44% / 56%43%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(156)10.144%7.3
2nd(129)8.539%6.0
3rd(93)7.834%6.8
4th(15)4.540%4.7
All (393)40%6.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(208)9.640%5.1
2nd(132)7.341%4.4
3rd(74)5.747%5.1
4th(18)1.483%9.3
All (432)43%5.1

New Mexico, all games.